Tournaments
Draw Forecasts
Released draws are simulated offline and displayed here as round-by-round advancement probabilities.
Current and upcoming draws
Roland Garros 2026
Draw releasedBO5 adjustedClay - Best of 5 - 10,000 simulations - updated 5/27/2026
Roland Garros draw updated with TML ongoing R1 results; completed R1 losers removed and known R2 paths reflected. Source: Roland Garros draw + TML ongoing results
Current-state simulation from 10,000 runs. Grand Slam probabilities use the promoted anchored BO5 format adjustment. Completed R1 results applied: 64.
| Player | ATP Rank | R64 | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Pr Favdown | Implied Odds Fav |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 1 | 100.0% | 99.0% | 98.0% | 94.7% | 91.6% | 88.9% | 75.8% | 1.32 |
| Alexander Zverev | 3 | 100.0% | 90.6% | 85.5% | 77.5% | 67.0% | 42.1% | 9.7% | 10.27 |
| Novak Djokovic | 4 | 100.0% | 98.0% | 87.3% | 66.9% | 56.9% | 34.3% | 9.4% | 10.64 |
| Casper Ruud | 17 | 100.0% | 79.3% | 50.6% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 105.26 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 5 | 100.0% | 81.2% | 63.9% | 44.8% | 26.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 200.00 |
| Rafael Jodar | 29 | 100.0% | 88.8% | 72.2% | 45.9% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 212.77 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 27 | 100.0% | 86.8% | 75.5% | 43.7% | 24.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 232.56 |
| Ben Shelton | 6 | 100.0% | 77.1% | 50.0% | 34.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 303.03 |
| Tommy Paul | 26 | 100.0% | 90.2% | 41.4% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 344.83 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 12 | 100.0% | 77.2% | 45.4% | 26.8% | 16.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 357.14 |
| Luciano Darderi | 16 | 100.0% | 86.8% | 62.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 370.37 |
| Andrey Rublev | 13 | 100.0% | 78.7% | 62.7% | 36.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 370.37 |
| Alex De Minaur | 9 | 100.0% | 59.9% | 36.8% | 22.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 454.55 |
| Karen Khachanov | 15 | 100.0% | 77.2% | 58.8% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 555.56 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 82 | 100.0% | 67.6% | 29.5% | 18.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 909.09 |
| Valentin Vacherot | 18 | 100.0% | 55.6% | 39.3% | 19.0% | 7.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1250.00 |
| Learner Tien | 20 | 100.0% | 72.9% | 39.2% | 20.3% | 10.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1250.00 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 23 | 100.0% | 58.1% | 38.9% | 20.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 1250.00 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 21 | 100.0% | 51.0% | 38.4% | 16.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1428.57 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 78 | 100.0% | 49.0% | 37.0% | 16.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 2000.00 |
| Jakub Mensik | 28 | 100.0% | 49.8% | 22.0% | 10.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 2000.00 |
| Tomas Machac | 40 | 100.0% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2000.00 |
| Mariano Navone | 42 | 100.0% | 50.2% | 22.4% | 11.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 2500.00 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 35 | 100.0% | 44.4% | 30.7% | 13.4% | 5.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 3333.33 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 58 | 100.0% | 41.9% | 23.8% | 10.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 3333.33 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 90 | 100.0% | 59.1% | 24.3% | 10.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3333.33 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 107 | 100.0% | 58.4% | 19.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 5000.00 |
| Raphael Collignon | 64 | 100.0% | 22.9% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5000.00 |
| Ugo Humbert | 34 | 100.0% | 61.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 5000.00 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 24 | 100.0% | 41.6% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10000.00 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 70 | 100.0% | 80.9% | 28.2% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 10000.00 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | 150 | 100.0% | 27.1% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10000.00 |
| Alexander Blockx | 36 | 100.0% | 40.1% | 18.8% | 9.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 10000.00 |
| Alex Michelsen | 41 | 100.0% | 64.1% | 17.0% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 10000.00 |
| Thanasi Kokkinakis | 65 | 100.0% | 40.9% | 13.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 10000.00 |
| Jesper de Jong | 109 | 100.0% | 67.2% | 22.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10000.00 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 54 | 100.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Martin Landaluce | 67 | 100.0% | 32.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Vit Kopriva | 63 | 100.0% | 68.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Francisco Comesana | 114 | 100.0% | 13.2% | 4.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | 79 | 100.0% | 42.8% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Jaime Faria | 117 | 100.0% | 57.2% | 15.5% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 96 | 100.0% | 32.4% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | 66 | 100.0% | 18.8% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Luca Van Assche | 103 | 100.0% | 33.0% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Brandon Nakashima | 33 | 100.0% | 67.0% | 21.6% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | NA |
| Moise Kouame | 316 | 100.0% | 19.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Yibing Wu | 93 | 100.0% | 22.8% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Hugo Gaston | 120 | 100.0% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Zachary Svajda | 85 | 100.0% | 45.7% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Adam Walton | 101 | 100.0% | 54.3% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Nuno Borges | 50 | 100.0% | 42.9% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 47 | 100.0% | 57.1% | 15.9% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | NA |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 68 | 100.0% | 21.3% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Hamad Medjedovic | 56 | 100.0% | 20.7% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | NA |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 69 | 100.0% | 9.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Joao Fonseca | 30 | 100.0% | 57.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | NA |
| Dino Prizmic | 71 | 100.0% | 42.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | NA |
| Valentin Royer | 73 | 100.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | 156 | 100.0% | 35.9% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| James Duckworth | 83 | 100.0% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Marco Trungelliti | 81 | 100.0% | 22.8% | 10.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Federico Cina | 216 | 100.0% | 32.8% | 7.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |
| Quentin Halys | 88 | 100.0% | 38.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA |