Economics

Australian Economic Outlook

A real chain-volume GDP nowcast and central 24-quarter macroeconomic forecast.
Generated 16/10/2026, 11:44:47 am

GDP contribution vintages

National Accounts baseline plus one observation per release day. Every vintage uses the current model and sums to the headline nowcast.

v3.3 recency-calibrated bottom-up ensemble with BOP trade anchor

Contribution changes by release

Each release date appears once; publications on the same day are applied together. The stack sums to the change in the headline nowcast.

Current-model replay: release charts isolate data news from model-version changes. Methodology gdp_nowcast_v3_3_bop_trade_anchor; the chart therefore measures data news, not changes caused by older model versions.

Latest scheduled release: 15 Oct | Labour Force. Added observations for the current target quarter (4 new target-quarter series observations).

As of 16/10/2026, 11:24:26 am. Source payload is produced independently by the GDP nowcast pipeline and published through the economics-only static data boundary.