Notebook

Feature Analysis

Short research notes and model-development writeups. These cards are ready to connect to MDX or a CMS later.
Feature analysis

Lower-tour support for rank 100-300 players

How Challenger and qualifying data reduce false inactivity warnings without polluting main-tour Elo.

State model

Why best-of-5 changes the favourite curve

A compact scoring-state bridge that keeps production probabilities anchored while exposing format effects.

Calibration

Young elite guardrails

Neutralising under-18 age effects while preserving upside for established young elite profiles.

Market audit

Market comparison and model limits

What validation against historical odds can and cannot tell us before adding live-market feeds.